In large-scale one-off civil infrastructure, decision-making under uncertainty is part of the job, that’s just how it is. But, civil engineers don’t get the luxury of building 10^6 versions of the bridge, offshore wind turbine or aeronautical structure to consider a relative frequency interpretation!
And as you’ll hear, challenges don’t stop there: you also have to consider natural hazards such as earthquakes, rockfall and typhoons — in case you were wondering, civil engineering is not among the boring jobs!
To talk about these original topics, I had the pleasure to host Michael Faber. Michael is a Professor at the Department of Built Environment at Aalborg University, Denmark, the President of the Joint Committee on Structural Safety and is a tremendously deep thinker on the Bayesian interpretation of probability as it pertains to the risk-informed management of big infrastructure.
His research interests are directed on governance and management of risks, resilience and sustainability in the built environment — doing all that with Bayesian probabilistic modeling and applied Bayesian decision analysis, as you’ll hear.
Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work at https://bababrinkman.com/ !
Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible!
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Visit https://www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag 😉
Links from the show:
- Michael’s profile on Aalborg University: https://vbn.aau.dk/en/persons/100493
- Michael’s LinkedIn profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-havbro-faber-22898414/
- Statistics and Probability Theory – In Pursuit of Engineering Decision Support: https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-94-007-4056-3
- Bayes in Civil Engineering – an abridged personal account of research and applications: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/bayes-civil-engineering-michael-havbro-faber
- Website of the Joint Committee on Structural Safety (JCSS): https://www.jcss-lc.org/